NFL point spread
March 24th NFL news ... Welcome to NFL point spread, the sports betting informational site for those that bet on the NFL.
Welcome to pointspreadnfl.net, the sports betting informational site for those that bet on the NFL.
In order to score a profit on professional football, you need to be in tune with all of the key statistics, trends and news. By checking out the site during the football season, you will have access to all of that key information as well as all of the spreads, information on line movements and in depth analysis.
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SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (6-1) at ST. LOUIS RAMS (3-4)
The Seahawks head into St. Louis on Monday night where they meet a Rams team that will be without quarterback Sam Bradford for the rest of the season.
Seattle played the Thursday night game last week and came away with a convincing 34-22 victory on the road against the Cardinals. The Rams, on the other hand, came up empty-handed in Carolina as they committed three turnovers and fell 30-15 against the Panthers. St. Louis quarterback Sam Bradford tore his ACL in the game and will be replaced by Kellen Clemens for the time being. Considering the team contacted 44-year-old Brett Favre to be its starter, Clemens does not figure to be a long-term solution. In the past five meetings between these teams, the Seahawks are 4-1 SU with the last matchup being a 20-13 victory for Seattle last December. However, the Rams covered as 10.5-point underdogs and won outright 19-13 at home when these division foes last met at Edward Jones Dome. The Seahawks are 16-4 ATS (80percent) off 1 or more straight Overs in the past three seasons, and are also 13-4 ATS (77percent) against conference opponents in the past two seasons. St. Louis has favorable trends too though, as Jeff Fisher is 47-27 ATS (64percent) in weeks 5 through 9 as an NFL head coach, and Seattle is just 24-43 ATS (36percent) after a win over a division rival since 1992.
Seattle went into the desert and defeated the Cardinals behind the superb play of QB Russell Wilson, who threw for 235 yards (8.1 YPA), three touchdowns and no interceptions in the game. He also rushed for 29 yards, but did fumble three times, losing two of those. Wilson has now thrown for 1,489 yards (8.0 YPA), 11 touchdowns and just four interceptions on the season, but he has taken 20 sacks and fumbled eight times, losing five of those. RB Marshawn Lynch continued to run the ball extremely well with 91 yards on 21 carries with a score, giving him 578 rushing yards (2nd in NFL) and six rushing touchdowns (T-2nd in league) for the season. WR Golden Tate was Wilsons leading receiver with four receptions for 77 yards, but his targets should decrease with the return of top WR Percy Harvin (hip) nearing. Harvin has a slight chance to play in this game, but he is more likely to return next week. Although TE Zach Miller and WR Sidney Rice both caught touchdown passes versus the Cardinals, there is no guarantee they do it again as Wilson spreads the wealth, completing passes to nine different receivers in that victory. The Seattle defense has been stellar this season as it is allowing a league-low 4.5 yards per play with just 190.6 passing yards per game (2nd in NFL) and 91.6 rushing yards per game (6th in NFL). The Seahawks rank third in the league in scoring defense (16.6 PPG) despite a below average time of possession (29:42). This defensive unit has forced multiple turnovers in all seven games (19 total), and recorded a season-high seven sacks last week. This will make it very difficult for new Rams QB Kellen Clemens to move the football.
St. Louis Rams was a devastating blow with Sam Bradford tearing his ACL in the midst of his best pro season (90.9 passer rating, 24 passing YPG, 14 TD, 4 INT). His backup Clemens (2-for-4, 19 yards last week) will start in Week 8, but is just 4-8 as a starter in the NFL with his last win coming in 2009. His last start was in December of 2011 where he threw completed just 45percent of his passes for 226 yards, 1 TD and 1 INT. He also rushed for 18 yards and a touchdown in that game against the 49ers, a 34-27 home loss. St. Louis is now going to rely heavily on their new starting RB Zac Stacy (214 rush yards, 4.3 YPC, 1 TD), who carried the ball 17 times for just 53 yards (3.1 YPC) against the Panthers last week, but he did catch four passes for 34 yards and a touchdown out of the backfield. With a shaky starting quarterback, the Rams will hand it off to Stacy as much as they can but it will be hard for him to get it going against the Seahawks stout rush defense. The Rams' run defense has been just the opposite, surrendering 126.4 rushing YPG (3rd-worst in NFL), and will have to step it up otherwise Marshawn Lynch will really make them pay. St. Louis hasn't been great defending the pass either though, allowing 8.0 yards per pass attempt, which is the second-highest number in the league. The Rams tied for the league lead in sacks last year (52), but they have just 18 sacks this season (T-16th in NFL). But they will try to exploit Wilson being turnover-prone, as St. Louis has been able to generate nine takeaways over the past four games. However, this won't be as easy if top CB Cortland Finnegan (thigh) remains out.
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Batch, Fitzpatrick and Gradkowski continue to cover the spread
This past weekend three veteran quarterbacks got their first starts of the season. Each of these three signal callers had previously made starts for their current teams and all fared reasonably well in those games combing for a 9-7 record. More importantly, they compiled a 10-5-1 ATS record in those starts.
Sportsbook.com bettors that had faith in these three vets profited this past Sunday as all three QB’s helped their teams cover the spread. All three quarterbacks are expected to start again in week four, providing further opportunity to cash in on this angle.
Making his first start for Pittsburgh since 2007, Charlie Batch improved to 4-1 both ATS and SU in five starts as a Steeler. Batch did more than just manage the game for the Steelers, throwing three first half TD passes en route to a dominating 38-13 win over previously unbeaten Tampa Bay. This week, Sportsbook.com has Pittsburgh (3-0 ATS, 3-0 SU) as a 1.5 point favorite at home against division rival Baltimore (1-2 ATS, 2-1 SU). The Steelers have beaten the Ravens in Pittsburgh each of the last four seasons and is 2-1-1 ATS in those games.
An interesting betting trend points out that Pittsburgh is a solid 42-23 ATS (+16.7 Units) in October games since 1992. The average score was PITTSBURGH 22.6, OPPONENT 15.8 - (Rating = 1*).
After going 5-2-1 ATS and 4-4 SU in eight starts for Buffalo a year ago, Ryan Fitzpatrick kept things close for the Bills in New England last weekend as the Bills beat the spread for the first time this season in a 38-30 loss. Fitzpatrick completed 20 of 28 pass attempts for 247 yards, 2 TD and 2 INT. Despite the two costly picks, the front office must have been encouraged as they released opening day starter Trent Edwards on Monday. Fitzpatrick and the Bills return home to face the New York Jets after two weeks on the road. Buffalo played well in its home opener, allowing just one TD in a 15-10 loss to Miami. The Bills are a 5-point home underdog to the Jets.
Play On - Home underdogs or pick (Buffalo) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, a terrible team (<=25%) playing a team with a winning record. (104-52 since 1983.) (66.7%, +46.8 units. Rating = 3*).
Getting his first start of the season, Bruce Gradkowski appeared to have led Oakland to a straight up win as a 5.5-point underdog in Arizona. However, Sebastian Janikowski’s 32-yard FG attempt sailed wide left on the final play of the Raiders’ 24-23 loss to the Cardinals. Gradkowski’s numbers were okay, 17-34, 255, 1 TD and a pick, but he once again showed that the Raiders are more competitive over the last two seasons with him under center. Oakland was a .500 team ATS with or without Gradkowski a year ago, but was 2-2 SU in Gradkowski’s four starts compared to 3-9 SU when he did not start. Oakland is getting a field goal at home against Houston this Sunday. Home underdogs have performed well so far this season, going 13-7-1 ATS, while winning 11 of the 21 contests outright.
Whether it’s due to injury (in Batch’s case) or ineffectiveness by the previous starter (in the case of Fitzpatrick and Gradkowski), veteran QBs who know their team’s systems continue to be solid plays. Bet on them now at Sportsbook.com.